Scientist says more people will die from mesothelioma than predicted

April 2nd, 2007

A new study by an Australian researcher has found that predictions about future mesothelioma deaths have been underestimated by about 80%. Dr. Mark Clements’ findings could dramatically increase the liability of companies connected with the asbestos industry as more mesothelioma lawsuits go to court.

Dr. Clements’ study of recent mesothelioma statistics found that the number of patients receiving a mesothelioma diagnosis has risen over the past 15 years. While current projections forecast about 3,500 mesothelioma cases in Australia, Dr. Clements says that the actual number of new cases will be about 6,000—an 80% increase from previous estimates.

Because mesothelioma is almost always fatal, these revised estimates mean that the number of mesothelioma deaths should be about 80% higher as well. In addition, Dr. Clements says that the peak in new mesothelioma cases will not occur until 2017, seven years later than current projections.

These new findings may lead to a substantial increase in damages paid to victims who file mesothelioma lawsuits against companies that mine asbestos or who are connected with asbestos-containing products. Although Dr. Clements chose not to speculate about the financial cost of hundreds of additional mesothelioma cases, he says that the increase in victims will undoubtedly increase the number of new mesothelioma lawsuits that are filed.

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